Me, listening Russian:)

12:31 AM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
That's me on the right side of the photo, from last week.

Istanbul is very nice during late summer and spring but i do not advice nov. and winter

Read more...

Turkey's Electricity Supply 2010 and beyond

10:48 AM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
First of all check:
http://www.teias.gov.tr/yukdagitim/kuruluguc.xls

You will see that Turkish Installed Capacity is: 44472.5 MWs (as of this month). You can also the wind energy column to make sure that it is updated:): 738 MW

Then check: http://www.teias.gov.tr/AylikElektrikIstatistikleri/AylikElektrikIstatistikleri.xls

you will see that 2009 on month by month basis lower than 2008.

Then see the latest statistics from TEİAS regarding "production capacity and peaks" here
http://www.teias.gov.tr/istatistik2008/14.xls


From the last column check that
Installed capacity @ 2008: 41817 MW
Peak load @2008 : 30842 MW
See the "Gross Demand" and "Firm Production" columns

Result:
We didn't have such a big problem in 2008. Our Installed Capacity is now 2600 MW higher but our demand and peak is 4% lower than 2008. The hardest years for Turkish system are the drought years, it resembles Norway's system in that sense due to high hydro capacity.

As a rule of thumb : (safe side-approximation)
Multiply the installed capacity by 4650 hours for higher scenario 4500 for lower scenario(capacity utilization sort of thing, this is a rough approximation, use Enerji Ekonomisi by Behçet Yücel for detailed calculation- and also note that system has the ability to achieve more than 5000 hours average).

If the resulted number is less than the expected demand then it means the system is in stress.

So
44472.5 MW * 4500 hours = 200 TWh
44472.5 MW * 4650 hours = 206.8 TWh

Expected demand for 2009 is 194 TWhs.
Expected demand for 2010 is 206.6 TWhs.

So without any additional capacity for the next year this capacity should be enough till the end of 2010 even for the first 6 months of 2011. I personally expect Turkey's installed capacity to reach close to the 50000 MW in 2012

Read more...

GE's Future Technologies

6:09 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
I have never heard of Pulse Detonation Technology. But GE's working on it to increase the efficiency of gas turbines. Check the interview

Read more...

The Economics of Climate Change Mitigation: Policies and Options for Global Action Beyond 2012

4:16 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
Against the background of a projected doubling of world greenhouse gas emissions by mid-century, this book explores feasible ways to abate them at least cost. Through quantitative analysis, it addresses key climate policy issues:
What would an ideal set of climate policy tools look like?
How large are the economic and environmental costs of incomplete country or sector coverage of climate change mitigation policies? What are the pros and cons of policy tools to broaden that coverage, such as international sector-wide agreements or border-tax adjustments? What are the main challenges in incorporating a mechanism to reduce emissions from deforestation and forest degradation?
How can we concretely develop a global carbon market?
What is the case for, and what can we reasonably expect from, R&D and technology support policies?
How great are the incentives for major emitting countries to join a climate change mitigation agreement, in terms of the costs and benefits (including the co-benefits from reduced local air pollution and improved energy security) of action? How can they be enhanced? How can international transfers of resources and technologies broaden support for action?

http://www.oecd.org/document/56/0,3343,en_2649_34361_43705336_1_1_1_1,00.html

Read more...

Alternative Energy Myths

5:18 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
  • it would take more than 400 years of biodiesel use to "pay back" the carbon emitted by directly clearing peat for palm oil
  • The grain it takes to fill an SUV tank with ethanol could feed a hungry person for a year;
  • first new U.S. reactor is only scheduled for 2017
  • average U.S. household now has 26 plug-in devices
  • Only 4 percent of the energy used to power a typical incandescent bulb produces light; the rest is wasted
  • China is expected to build more square feet of real estate in the next 15 years than the United States has built in its entire history, and it has no green building codes or green building experience.
  • modern American refrigerators use three times less energy than 1970s models

    Baris's note : such a shame : "we can subtract a coal-fired megawatt every time we add a wind-powered megawatt". Coal works 6500-7000 hours/year, where wind hardly sees 3000 hours/year. It's capacity factor!

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/08/12/seven_myths_about_alternative_energy?page=full

Read more...

A series of articles regarding oil reserves and prices

4:52 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
Matthew Simmons' article is the most visited in FP's web site for a couple of days. Before reading his article, as he suggests, check the links in this paragraph:
"The four pieces were Pulitzer Prize-winning author Daniel Yergin's seven-page article in Foreign Policy, energy analyst Michael Lynch's three column op-ed in the New York Times, analyst Edward Morse's essay in Foreign Affairs, and scholar Amy Jaffe's paper published by the Baker Institute at Rice University." http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/09/04/oil_spin?page=0,0

Read more...

Lies, Damn Lies and Chinese Lies

9:46 AM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
Pretty interesting piece to read:
China's economy grew at an annualized 6.1 percent rate in the first quarter, and
7.9 percent in the second. Yet electricity usage, a key indicator in industrial
growth and a harder metric to manipulate, declined 2.2 percent in the first six
months of the year.

Ref:
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/09/03/how_china_cooks_its_books?page=0,1

Read more...

Energy Industry Photos

2:55 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses

There are really good energy photos at this link. Especially the blowouts



Read more...

Wireless Electricity Transmission

3:34 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
A professor fed up with his wife's phone beeping for low battery came up with this idea, which is not very complex. It is charging by induction I guess. But there is a video and pdf file to see.
Video: http://www.ted.com/talks/eric_giler_demos_wireless_electricity.html?CNN=YES
PDF: http://www.witricity.com/pdfs/4.0_home_news_2008_03-04.pdf

Read more...