Showing posts with label natural gas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label natural gas. Show all posts

Turkmenistan's gas price to China and Gazprom

11:03 AM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
As of 13 February 2012
Turkmenistan gas price to
  • China is : 192 $ / 1000 m3 (5.48 $/mmbtu)
  • Gazprom is: 240 $ / 1000 m3 (6.85 $/mmbtu
Prior to 2009. revenues from the sale of natural gas accounted for about 70% of the gross national product. In better times, in 2008. Turkmenistan Gazprom sold about 50 billion cubic meters. meters of natural gas valued at approximately $ 7 billion.
2010, volume of purchases fell to an annual 11 billion cubic meters
Gas exports to Iran is limited to 8 billion cubic meters.


izvestia.ru, as reported www.centrasia.ru.
http://www.oilru.com/news/303286/
http://top.rbc.ru/politics/01/02/2012/635866.shtml

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Iran's record gas consumption

9:30 AM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
Iran's production: 554 million m3 (mcm/day)
28 out of 31 regions in Iran is experiencing freezing colds.
Iran's daily demand hit a record 551 million m3/day (mcm/day).
Trend.az claims a new record of 556 mcm/day
Iran also exports 30 mcm/day to Turkey.
Iran Turkmenistan pipeline capacity is 50 mcm/day.
Turkmenistan has cut natural gas to Iran from 20 to 10 mcm/day.

References:
http://en.trend.az/regions/iran/1990080.html
http://www.panarmenian.net/rus/news/92297/

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Effects of Cold Weather for Gas Supplies in Europe and Middle East

11:02 AM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
According to Lenta.ru
Turkmenistan has cut gas to Iran from 20 million m3 to 10 million m3. Even to 6 million m3
Iran-Turkmenistan pipeline capacity 50 million m3 (mcm)
Iran reduced gas to Turkey to 30 million m3(?)
Kommersant claims Gazprom has not fulfilled its duties to Europe
%10 incomplete delivery to Europe
Gazprom" for the first time recognizes that fail to meet the peak load
With Nordstream Gazprom's export capacity hit 210 bcm(billion cubic meters), but article claims it can not export 180 bcm
Poland, Slovakia, Austria, Hungary, Bulgaria, Romania, Greece and Italy. The most serious deficiency - in Austria (30%), Italy (24%) and Poland (8%)
Turkey is supplied more than 8 mcm/day than contracted(?),
Poland received 38 mcm/day instead of 40 mcm/day
Italy claims short supply of 10-20 mcm/day (95.7 mcm/day received instead of 108.3)

Reason:
Cold weather
Reduced imports from Turkmenistan (from 40 bcm to 10 bcm)
Ukraine is claimed to be taking more than contracted (150-170 mcm/day instead of 130 mcm)



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Turkey's record Natural Gas and Electricity consumption

10:27 AM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
According to TEİAŞ, Turkish electricity system produced a record
  • 35446.1 MWe (Momentarily) - 16th Jan
  • 34971 MWe (hourly average) - 16 th Jan
  • 0.71 TWh maximum daily consumption in 12th Jan 2012
The previous record and alltime high maximum peak production happened on
28th July 2011 - 36112.4 MWe at 14:30 local time

Sabah newspaper also claims, maximum daily consumption has occured as
- 180 million m3 /day
- 170 million m3/day

This is due to extreme cold affecting Anatolia and Tracia...

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Energy Security question from a Russian Perspective

3:45 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
NG.ru has a comprehensive review of "Energy Security Question from a Russian Perspective"

Here are some of the parts:

"Already, in some regions of Russia there is a shortage of natural gas."
"An even greater threat will be a reduction in export volumes of fuel, when and if it coincides with a decrease in world prices for oil and gas"
"Change of average world oil prices at $ 1 per barrel will result in additional lost revenue or budget of the Russian Federation in the amount of 55-58 billion rubles (1.8 billion $)"

"Federal budget for 2012 with an estimated deficit of 1.5% of GDP is calculated based on the average price of Urals crude at $ 100 per barrel. Deficit budget in 2012 is possible at 117 dollars per barrel"

"Average distance delivery of raw materials is more than 3000 km (from Libya - 600 km, Norway - a thousand km) "

"The main contradiction: for the development of new oil production of the Arctic Region is required to invest a minimum of 70-120 billion dollars at partial guarantee of success"

This part is especially important since it lists a bunch of possible disturbances to Russian energy security question:

"The situation is exacerbated by the fact that in recent years formed the world market for gas:
  • liquefied natural gas (LNG) has been actively competes with the natural gas,
  • in Europe served the Norwegian North Sea gas,
  • the U.S. actively developing shale gas deposits.
  • European natural gas consumption has decreased while because of competition from LNG.
  • The gas pricing is increasingly moving away from contract prices to spot, as a result of this purchase price of Russian gas is reduced."

link: http://www.ng.ru/energy/2012-01-17/9_fuel.html

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Iranian gas usage figures

2:12 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
From oilru.com
A summary of Iranian gas usage from a Russian website:

"Today, about 53% rural and 95% of the urban population of Iran, a total of about 75% of the population throughout the country, provided with cooking gas""this year in Iran came early cold, which was not observed for the past 43 years"" the maximum daily gas consumption in the industry is fixed at around 92 million cubic meters/day. Last year the figure was 72 million cubic meters/day, reports Iran News."


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Energy Vision 2011 - A New Era for Gas

10:20 AM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
World Economic Forum's report is an interesting piece to read. There are numerous high profile comments in it. However as the #ceraweek suggests, some personal comments contradict with what is inside this report. One of the interesting maps in the report is this:
Also, 2010 gas figures can be found:
2010 Natural Gas Production by Region
Europe, 286 bcm
Middle East, 407 bcm
Africa, 213 bcm
Latin America, 148 bcm
North America, 749 bcm
Former Soviet Union, 751 bcm
Asia, 414 bcm,

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Houston, We have a problem! - Texas's Rolling Blackouts of February 2011

3:20 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
On Feb. 2nd 2011 :
A trio of events - loss of supply, higher demand and maintenance outages - led to Wednesday's emergency rolling blackouts across Texas and spiking power prices as the grid operator for most of the state struggled to accommodate a brutal winter storm.
Here is my collection of events from various links...
In 2008, Texas has been on the edge of a rolling blackout.
"On February 26, 2008, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) called for an Emergency Electric Curtailment Plan (EECP) at 18:41 due to a worsening imbalance between generation and load which led to a decline in system frequency"
Read here (http://www1.eere.energy.gov/windandhydro/pdfs/43373.pdf)

In 2011, (Feb 2 & Feb 3) Texas has suffered from blackouts. The Oil Drum has a nice summary of the events : ( http://www.theoildrum.com/node/7449 )
A summary of events is available from this site : (http://www.oncor.com/news/newsrel/detail.aspx?prid=1297)
"Wednesday’s peak demand is currently projected to be more than 54,000 MW between 8-9 p.m. , and more than 58,000 – which would be a new winter record – between 7-8 a.m. on Thursday. The current winter peak demand record is 56,334 MW which occurred Feb. 2, between 7 and 8 p.m.
The grid continues to have about 2,700 MW of generation capacity unavailable because of unplanned or forced outages."

These 2700 MW of generating capacity are probably these two plants:

Texas Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst said the Luminant-owned 1,640 MW Oak Grove plant east of Temple and the 1,137 MW Sandow plant near Rockdale were among the plants knocked offline by the storm. Oak Grove suffered a broken pipe and Sandow was hampered by a frozen pipe. Allan Koenig, communications director for Luminant, said its Oak Grove and Sandow power plants "accounted for just a small percentage of the 50 units and 7,000 megawatts."

So it was cold weather, pipes and low pressure on natural gas lines:

Wednesday. Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst said this is something that “should not happen.” Dewhurst said he was told that water pipes at two plants, Oak Grove and Sand Hill, forced them to cut electricity production. Natural gas power plants that should have provided back up had difficulty starting due to low pressure in the supply lines, also caused by the cold weather.
I am not quite sure about this:
But, Fraser said, some power cuts affected some stations for compressing natural gas — so without power they couldn't pump gas, causing some gas power plants to go offline
The complaints followed :
"The blackouts left many people angry and frustrated. Cuellar said Oncor’s call center has been overwhelmed with about 60,000 calls an hour."
Also a family blamed these outages for causing their son's death

So the market worked and prices soared to 3000$/ MWh

As a result of the outages and demand, real-time power prices peaked around $3,000/MWh during some intervals Wednesday afternoon.

Average prices at this time of year normally would be less than $100/MWh, Doggett said.
Emergency measures started:

In addition to the default Energy Emergency Alert 0, or normal operations, there are four EEA levels: EEA Level 1, EEA Level 2A, EEA Level 2B and EEA Level 3, which is the most extreme.

ERCOT first contacted market participants at 4:45 am CST on Wednesday to warn the companies of inclement weather. ERCOT declared EEA Level 2A at 5:17 am

Less than a half-hour later, ERCOT declared EEA Level 3 at 5:43 am, at which point the grid operator asked distributors to shed firm load of 1,000 MW, said ERCOT spokeswoman Dottie Roark.
A timeline and detailed discussion is available from here:


More information about Texas home heating is available here

As a final reading, I offer "Normal Accident Theory" from NASA:

Failure in one part (material, human, or organization) may
coincide with the failure of an entirely different part. This
unforeseeable combination can cause cascading failures of
other parts.
In complex systems these possible combinations are practically
limitless.


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UK's gas crises

4:27 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
As UK's gas demand heats a record high due to cold winter, gas suppy of 100 big customers has seen cut.Graph from The Oil Drum.

Guardian also writes:

The National Grid has told British Gas and other power firms to cut the supply to major corporate customers, in an attempt to preserve gas supply for households as the weather causes a surge in demand.

Links:
Is the United Kingdom facing a natural gas shortage?
Energy security questioned as National Grid cuts off gas to factories

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GE's Future Technologies

6:09 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
I have never heard of Pulse Detonation Technology. But GE's working on it to increase the efficiency of gas turbines. Check the interview

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Coal to Natural Gas

11:09 AM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses

The equation is simple but the process is in its early stages. They have made a demo project, and now they are heading for commercialization. Great Point Energy can convert coal to methane that is the biggest component of natural gas that we use at home.

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Ice that burns to reduce emissions?

5:27 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses


New Scientist wrote about Clathrate Hydrates, when "carbon dioxide is pumped into the hydrate, it spontaneously takes the methane's place" and releases the methane locked inside it. The cage like structure formed by water molecules are key to these structures. US Energy Department is working with ConocoPhilips for a field trial.

"The deposits on the North Slope of Alaska are among the richest. A 2008 USGS study showed that there are 2.4 trillion cubic metres "

Worth a look!




Ref:


http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16848-ice-that-burns-could-be-a-green-fossil-fuel.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news


http://www.conocophillips.com/NR/rdonlyres/700222AB-5BB1-4006-82D5-95E4CB5F254F/0/MethaneHydratesDataSheet.pdf


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_hydrate

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World Energy Geology : Interactive Map

1:43 PM Reporter: Baris Sanli 0 Responses
US Geological Survey is one of the most important sources for world petroleum endowment. They have an interactive map, which eases to plot the results of survey. The results of their studies are used as inputs to other very important studies carried by international organizations such as IEA. Some criticize USGS for being bountiful in their expectations. Especially after last year's oil price hike, experts talked about re-examining USGS data.


Neverthless, map is quite nice and user friendly. Also check the other web pages as well. Beware that the results may be old (from 2000).


Map can be reached from this website:
Also check :

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